This guy is playing 66% of hands over a 70 hand sample and going to showdown with them 35% of the time. That’s going to showdown with 23% of the deck. From a value standpoint that range looks like 66+,A3s+,K7s+,Q8s+,J9s+,T9s,A8o+,K9o+,QTo+,JTo. But in the real world, players who have those stats play much weaker hands than this – as you can see. I min-3bet the turn so we have a pot size bet on the river, which he’s never getting away from with top pair. Given he had 2 pair, he was never folding anyway.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) – Poker-Stars Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com
Button ($8.35)
SB ($39.50)
BB ($145.75)
UTG ($56.15)
Hero (MP) ($50)
Preflop: Hero is MP with A
, Q
1 fold, Hero bets $1.50, 2 folds, BB calls $1
Flop: ($3.25) 2
, K, 10 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB calls $2
Turn: ($7.25) 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $4, BB raises to $9, Hero raises to $14, BB calls $5
River: ($35.25) 5
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $32.50 (All-In), BB calls $32.50
Total pot: $100.25 | Rake: $2
Results:
BB mucked K
, 3 (two pair, Kings and threes).
Hero had A, Q (flush, Ace high).
Outcome: Hero won $98.25